Francisco Rodrigues (all times unless otherwise stated)
Israeli air strikes by cryptocurrencies on Iran’s nuclear and missile sites have sparked global sentiment and sent investors fleeing risky assets.
Coindesk 20 index (CD20), a measure of the broad crypto market, lost 6.1% in 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC), visible Some people act as safe havens Investment fell 2.9%. Gold futures are a more traditional shelter, up 1.3% from the closing period.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Overnight attack saysThis is also aimed at Iran’s top military leaders, aiming to revoke Iran’s nuclear program and missile capabilities. Iran repeatedly Call for the destruction of Israelalthough a more coordinated response is expected, the response is to launch 100 suicide drones to Israeli territory.
The strike was at the IAEA that Iran was in less than 24 hours Not in line Uranium enrichment limit. The United States said it was not involved in the attack, which killed some Iranian military leaders.
Upgrade sees risky assets across the board. Japan’s Nikkei fell about 0.9%, U.S. index futures fell 1.2%, while Euro Stoxx 50 lost 1.35%. On the other hand, U.S. crude futures rose more than 6% to $73, while Brent crude soared 14%. Gold soared to $3,445 per ounce, reaching its all-time high.
Cryptocurrencies gradually disappeared after speculation about ETF approval earlier this week. Solana’s Sol
in particular Rally Report The SEC requires ETF issuers to update their S-1 files and may speed up release schedules. SOL has dropped by nearly 9.5% in the past 24 hours.
“On the end of the day, it was reported that the SEC had asked the Solana ETF issuers to update the S-1 files and triggered a sharp rally in the SOL,” Wintermute’s OTC Trader Jake Ostrovskis told Coindesk.
“Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart remained optimistic, allocating a 90% approval probability at the end of the year, with potential approval within three to five weeks after the submission of the filing in July or updated,” Ostrovskis said.
Therefore, the market is “relatively unaffected by SOLs and related assets right now, which makes the current setup particularly interesting,” he said.
Despite optimism and inflows into spot crypto ETFs, while BTC’s funding brought $939 million a month to date, ETH has seen a net inflow of $811,000, investors are now focusing on the Middle East.
Duoduo market traders are weighing 91% chance Iran will retaliate against Israel this month, and it is perceived Chances of US military operations The rate of opposition to Iran jumped from 4% to 28%. Stay alert!
What to see
- encryption
- June 16: 21shares execution 1 share distribution For ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB); stocks and navigation remain unchanged.
- June 16: Brazil’s B3 exchange emission The USD allocated Ether (0.25 ETH) and Solana (5 Sol) futures contracts were approved by Brazil’s securities regulator, Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), and standardized as the Nasdaq index.
- Macro
- June 15-17: G7 Summit 2025 (Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada)
- June 17: The U.S. Senate will finalize the passage of the bill’s guidance and establish national innovation for U.S. Stablecoins ( 2025 Genius Law).
- income (Estimation based on fact set data)
- June 23 (TBC): Hive Digital Technologies (honeycomb), aftermarket, $ -0.12
Token Event
- Governance voting and phone calls
- The Arbitration Road is voting to make a proposal to make a drip, A $80 million incentive program Target specific Defi activities. Drip is managed by a foundation-led committee and will directly reward users and allow DAOs to close them by voting. The vote ends on June 20.
- Unlock
- June 15: Starknet (Strk) releases 3.79% of its revolving supply, worth $15.04 million.
- June 15: SEI (SEI) will unlock 1.04% of its circulating supply, worth $9.7 million.
- June 16: Arbitration (ARB) will unlock 1.91% of its revolving supply, worth $31.28 million.
- June 17: ZKSYNC (ZK) unlocks 20.91% of its circular supply, worth $37.26 million.
- June 17: Apecoin (APE) releases 1.95% of its recycled supply, worth $10.43 million.
- Token release
- June 16: Recommended deadline At the end of the sunset process of the polygon, remove stmatic as part of the positive
- June 26: Coinbase to Drister Helium Move (Move), Rendering (RNDR), Ribbon Finance (RBN) and Synapse (Syn).
Meeting
Derivative Positioning
- Open Interest (OI) in Top Derivative Venues saw a sharp reset.
- According to Velo Data, the total number of OIs fell to $49.31 billion a month after reaching a peak of $55 billion on June 12.
- Binance dropped by more than $2.5 billion overnight, as well as broad risk reduction for OKX, BYBIT, DERIBIT and HYPRYLIPID. The callback relaxes most of the stable builds seen earlier this month.
- The option positioning is also more defensive, with the biased data showing that the BTC and ETH/call ratios climbed to 1.28 and 1.25 respectively.
- Rising strikes such as $140,000 (BTC) and $3,200 (ETH) still hold huge calls, but most of the exposure on June 27 are still unprofitable. This shift shows that the demand for downside protection continues to grow and continues to be selective of upside.
- Funding is still negative, especially the transmount coins. The rate of Deribit and BTC for ETH is –7.99%, which is –1.06%. DOT (–15.2%), link (–15.1%) and 1000SHIB (–44.5%) continue to exist.
- Hype (+8.27% of hyperliquidity) and AAVE (+9.95% on BYBIT) are one of the few people who show long bias.
- Despite a $1.16 billion liquidation Tuesday, the leverage ratio still rose. Shop data shows that 90% of liquidation comes from desire. As of June 13, the Bitcoin clearing heat map highlighted a long-term OI of $84 million between $102k and $10.4k. These levels are still not triggered, but if violated, the decline may be widened.
Market movement
- BTC fell 1.08% from Thursday at 4pm and priced at $104,889.07 (24 hours: -2.42%)
- ETH fell 4.48% at $2,523.28 (24 hours: -8.81%)
- Coindesk 20 fell 3.2% to 3,007.21 (24 hours: -6.04%)
- The Ether CESR compound discharge rate remains unchanged at 3.11%.
- The financing rate of BTC is 0.0018% (1.9776% annualized),
- DXY rose 0.44% at 98.35
- Gold futures rose 1.25% to $3,445.00
- Silver Futures rose 0.47% to $36.47
- Nikkei 225 closes 0.89% on 37,834.25
- Hang Seng closed 0.59% at 23,892.56
- FTSE fell 0.38% to 8,851.53
- EURO Stoxx 50 fell 1.37% to 5,287.21
- DJIA closed 0.24% on TKTK at 42,967.62
- The S&P 500 closed at 0.38% of 6,045.26
- Nasdaq Composite closed at 0.24% of 19,662.48
- S&P/TSX composite material closed 0.35% on 26,615.75
- S&P 40 Latin America closes 0.30% at 2,617.09
- The treasury interest rate in the United States remains unchanged for 10 years, at 4.365%.
- E-Mini S&P 500 futures fell 1.16% to 5,979.50
- E-Mini NASDAQ-100 futures fell 1.42% to 21,621.50
- The E-Mini Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.18% to 42,483.00
Bitcoin Statistics
- BTC Advantage: 64.77 (0.70%)
- Ethereum to Bitcoin Ratio: 0.02412 (-3.52%)
- Hash (7-day moving average): 928 EH/S
- HashPrice (Spot): $52.43
- Total Cost: 4.86 BTC / $508,710.78
- CME Futures Open Interest: 150,705 BTC
- BTC price is gold: 30.6 oz
- BTC and gold market cap: 8.66%
Technical Analysis
- Ether continues to face resistance on the daily order block, with prices falling to Monday’s heights as tensions rise in the Middle East.
- Earlier today, it briefly traded Monday’s lows before retracing that level.
- Every day when it is below the low of $2480 on Monday, it is consistent with the 200-day exponential moving average, which has been a major support since May – will be an encouraging sign.
Crypto Stock
- Strategy (MSTR): Closed Thursday at $379.76 (-1.9%), -2.63%, and sold for $369.78
- Coinbase Global: Closed at $241.05 (-3.84%), 2.1%, $236
- Circle (CRCL): $106.54 (-9.1%), +1.32%, $108.1 closed at $106.54 (-9.1%)
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): C $26.44 (+0.08%) Close
- Mara Holdings (Mara): Closed at $15.82 (-3.24%), 3.41%, $15.28
- RIOT Platform (RIOT): Closed at $10.21 (-3.22%), -3.33%, $9.87
- Core Science (CORZ): Closed at $12.14 (-0.9%), -2.55%, $11.83
- CleanSpark (clsk): Closed at $9.71 (-2.61%), -2.99%, priced at $9.42
- Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miner ETF (WGMI): Closed at $19.61 (-1.95%)
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): Closed at $30.74 (-3.09%), -2.41%, $30
- Exod: Closed $31.62 (+1.74%)
ETF Stream
Spot BTC ETF
- Daily Net Flow: $86.3 million
- Cumulative Net Flow: US$45.29 billion
- BTC totals approximately 1.21 million
Point ETH ETF
- Daily Net Flow: $112.3 million
- Cumulative Net Flow: US$3.87 billion
- ETH total holdings ~3.92 million
source: Farside Investors
Overnight flow
Daily pictures
- In the past 24 hours, 248,759 traders liquidated were liquidated $1.16 billion, according to Coinglass data.
When you sleep
In the ether
