President Donald Trump’s decision to organize the US armed forces to attack three important Iranian atomic installations may have sabotaged the well -known atomic functions of the Islamic Republic, but it also created a monumental new challenge to find out what is left and where.
Trump said heavily enriched sites were “totally wiped” Late Saturday, but an independent analysis still has to check this claim. Instead of making a quick profit, the strikes have the task of pursuing uranium and ensuring that Iran does not build up a weapon, according to three people who follow the country’s nuclear program.
The monitors of the International Atomic Energy Agency stay in Iran and inspected more than one location a day before Israel before Israel began the bomb campaign on June 13. They are still trying to evaluate the extent of the damage, and during military measures may be able to destroy the declared institutions of Iranian people, too, too Offers an incentive For Iran to take his program underground.
In fact, there is only a slim possibility that the United States that will enter the war Darya DolzikovaA senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a Think tank based in London.
“The more likely scenario is that they convince Iran that cooperation and transparency do not work and that the establishment of deeper facilities and not open that are not openly explained in order to avoid a similar goal in the future,” she said.
The IAEA inspectors have not been able to verify the location of the uranium uranium near bombs for more than a week. The Iranian officials recognized to break the Iaeo robe and bring it to an unknown place.
The IAEO demanded A Setting the hostility to fix the situation. The 35-nation board will be convened in Vienna on Monday, said General Director Rafael Mariano Grossi.
Trump sent B-2-stealth jets that are loaded with massive regulators known as GBU-57 bombsTo try to destroy the underground uranium drawing points of Iran in Natanz and Fordow.
Satellite images taken on Sunday by Ford and distributed by Maxar Technologies Show new crater, possible collapsed tunnel entrances and holes on a mountain ridge.
There are no evidence of damage to the underground enrichment halls, and IAEO inspectors reported that there were no radiation releases from the location. General of the US Air Force, General Dan Caine, announced on Sunday of a press conference that an assessment of the “last fighting damage would take some time”.
Before the US intervention, pictures showed that Israeli armed forces alone had limited success four days after the beginning of the bomb attack. The damage to the central facility in Natanz, which is 300 kilometers south of Tehran, was mainly limited to the switch and transformers.
Read more: Satellite images show Trump’s dilemma over the Iranian core complex
The USA also attacked the ISFAHAN NUCLEAR Technology and Research Center, which is 450 kilometers south of Tehran. After the IAEO again rated how much damage Israel had directed to the facility. Based on satellite images and communication with Iranian colleagues, Isfahan seemed to be “in detail”, the agency wrote on Saturday.
The central mission of the IAEO is to take gramm-Uran levels into account all over the world and ensure that it is not used for nuclear weapons. The most recent bombings are now making the persecution of the Iranian uranium more difficult, said Tariq up, the former head of the IAEO directive of the nuclear verification of the IAEO.
“It will now be very difficult for the IAEO to determine a material balance for almost 9,000 kilograms enriched uranium, especially for almost 410 kilograms 60% enriched uranium,” he said.
Inspectors had already recognized last week that they would do it lost path of the location of the Iranian high -enriched uranium stock because the ongoing military attacks of Israel prevent his inspectors from doing their work.
This uranium inventory – sufficient to make 10 nuclear warheads in a secret place – was seen by IAEO inspectors in Isfahan. But the material that could fit in only 16 small containers may have been spirited on site.
“It remains to be asked where Iran stores its already enriched shares,” said Dokikova. “These are almost certainly relocated to hardened and unknown places, out of the way to potential Israeli or US strikes.”
Far from being only static points on a map, the ambitions of Iran to make the fuel needed for nuclear power plants and weapons are embedded in a nationwide infrastructure. Thousands of scientists and engineers work on dozens of locations.
Even though military analysts are waiting for new satellite images before determining Trump’s success, the analysts of the nuclear protection analysts have drawn the conclusion that their work becomes much more difficult.
From Bombard the Iranian locationsIsrael and the United States have not only disturbed the IAEO accounting in the Iranian nuclear stocks. They also worsened the tools that can use monitors, said Robert Kelley, who, as IAEA director, headed Iraq and Libya.
This includes the forensic method with which the potential distraction of uranium was recorded. “Now that locations have been bombarded and all material classes have been scattered wherever the IAEO can never use environmental samples again,” he said. “Particles of each isotopic description have infinite half -life for forensic purposes and it will be impossible to sort their origin.”
