Can Bitcoin ETFs replace bonds in institutional portfolios?


The rise of Bitcoin ETFs

Bitcoin ETFs are investment vehicles that allow institutional and retail investors to gain risk to Bitcoin without directly owning or managing cryptocurrencies.

As the SEC approved the site Bitcoin ETF In January 2024, the market development developed significantly.

  • By 4th quarter 2024, institutional holdings of U.S. bitcoin ETFs soared to $27.4 billion, 114% Increase Starting from the previous quarter. This rapid adoption demonstrates growing interest in cryptocurrency exposure.
  • Now, major players like Blackrock, Fidelity, Vaneck, Ark Investment and Grayscale now manage Bitcoin ETFs. Blackrock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Fidelity’s Smart Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) are one of the well-known products.
  • Institutional adoption of Bitcoin ETFs is accelerating. Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) has become Top holders Spot Bitcoin ETFs reflect growing confidence in asset classes. In June 2025, investment consultants held more than US$10.3 billion in spot Bitcoin ETFs, accounting for nearly half of the total institutional assets.
  • Home offices and wealth managers are also exploring crypto investments. 2024 BNY Mellon Report It shows that 39% of single-family offices are actively investing or considering crypto investments, driven by customer needs and strategic analysis.

ETFs make it easier for institutions to enter the Bitcoin market while meeting regulatory compliance and internal risk frameworks. BlackRock suggests Up to 1-2% portfolio allocation in Bitcointhe reason is that it has the potential to diversify and increase returns.

BlackRock on Bitcoin Portfolio

Bitcoin vs. Bonds: Risk and Return

The trade-off between risk and return is at the heart when comparing Bitcoin ETFs to bonds.

Bitcoin’s historical performance is characterized by high volatility and large returns. Let’s see how:

  • Bitcoin returns 114% in 2024, Poor performance Major asset classes. However, its annualized volatility is about 50%, which is significantly higher than that of bonds and stocks.
  • Traditional bonds provide stable and predictable income. For example, as of mid-2025, iShares 20-Year Bond ETF (TLT) propose Thirty-day yield is about 4.55%, while Pioneer Bond Market ETF (BND) offers 30 days yield About 3.8%. These ETFs offer long-term souvenirs and a wide portfolio of investment-grade bonds, respectively, with an attractive option for income-focused portfolios during rising interest rates and market volatility.

Interestingly, Classic 60/40 portfoliolong considered the benchmark for institutional and retirement portfolios, distributes 60% of the shares to stocks and 40% of the bonds to bonds. However, the longer time for low bond yields and inflationary pressures has prompted calls for a rethinking of the model.

In 2022 and 2023, the traditional bond portfolio returns negatively due to rising interest rates, while Bitcoin’s value recovered. This asymmetry prompts institutions to reevaluate the risk-reward calculations of individually allocated bonds.

Bitcoin ETFs are increasingly evaluating potential alternatives to the fixed income portion of such portfolios. In 2025 alone, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted more than $40.6 billion in net inflows to early February, up 175% year-on-year Increase Compared with the same period in 2024.

Meanwhile, the net inflow in May 2025 was BlackRock’s IBIT, a record $6.35 billion in all-time. These figures emphasize that the growth driver behind Bitcoin is a reliable complement.

did you know? 2024 study ARK Invest and 21shares found that a 5% allocation to Bitcoin in a traditional 60/40 portfolio could increase the return on age by more than 3%, despite the increase in volatility.

ETF strategies for retirement and pension funds

Retirement and pension portfolios usually prioritize capital preservation, stable income and inflation hedging.

Traditionally, these portfolio goals have been achieved by bonds and stable assets, challenged by extended low returns and rising inflation rates. As a result, some forward-looking institutional investors have begun exploring small, controlled allocation of Bitcoin ETFs to enhance risk-adjusted returns while complying with their conservative mandate.

Examples of such pension funds include:

  • Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB): swib public Initial investment of $163 million in the first quarter of 2024 (IBIT $99 million, $64 million GBT). By the end of 2024, it had expanded its IBIT position to $321 million in 6 million shares.
  • Michigan Investment Commission: Michigan joins Bitcoin ETF trend to become a well-known holder of ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) distribute About $7 million. Although relatively small, the investment reflects a cautious but clear move to gain Bitcoin exposure through regulatory financial instruments that fit the compliance parameters of large-scale public funds.
  • Houston Firefighters Relief and Pension Fund: Houston Firefighters Relief and Retirement Foundation One of the earliest public pension funds to experiment with cryptocurrencies distribute Before the ETF is approved, a portion of its portfolio will be taken through the New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG). This move, while modest, shows an early understanding of the potential for asymmetric returns of Bitcoin and its relevance in modern portfolio theory, especially for funds used to manage long-term obligations.

did you know? June 16, 2025, Ark 21shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) implement 1 share 1 share distribution aims to improve accessibility and liquidity without changing its investment strategy or net asset value. This alternative move reflects growing demand from investors, with Bitcoin’s surge of more than $100,000 strengthening the reason for the split.

X announcements of X ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) are 3 to 1 respectively

Tokenized bonds and crypto-backed fixed income

These are alternatives to Bitcoin ETFs that have gained institutional attention, such as tokenized fixed income.

These are traditional bond and money market assets, issued as digital tokens on the blockchain. This innovation combines institutional-level assets with blockchain efficiency such as automatic resolution, transparency and programmability.

  • BlackRock’s Buidl Fund: Launched in March 2024 BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) The U.S. Treasury Department, cash and repurchase agreements were signed on blockchain platforms such as Ethereum and later on blockchain platforms such as Solana. In six weeks, the token fund amassed about $375 million in AUM, quickly surpassing Franklin Templeton’s products, with a difference of more than $1.7 billion in seven blockchains as of March 2025. Unique features include 24/7 trade and marking stock allocations.
  • Franklin Templeton’s OnChain U.S. Government Money Fund (FOBXX/BENJI): Launched in 2021 with Stellar and expanded to Ethereum, Avalanche, Base, Aptos and Solana, U.S. government securities, cash and storage measures are classified as U.S. government securities under UCITS regulations. Exceed By February 2025, AUM $594 million and a yield of about 4.5%, reflecting the first regulated, tokenized money market fund in Europe.
  • Encrypted production products: Many platforms are trying to encrypt bonds (e.g., Maple Financing, Open Eden), a decentralized debt instrument secured by digital assets. Although still in its early stages, their goal is to use blockchain local collateral to provide yields on excessive loan loans, previewing a future where digital asset lending underwritten returns similar to fixed income income.

Challenges and considerations in integrating Bitcoin ETFs into financial portfolios

Bitcoin ETFs take their own risks and must do their own research, because this does not include financial advice.

The challenges of Bitcoin ETFs to institutions include:

  • volatility: Bitcoin’s price fluctuations can be very high, posing risks to conservative investors.
  • Regulatory uncertainty: An evolving regulatory landscape can affect the performance and availability of crypto-related investment products.
  • Lack of yield: Unlike bonds, Bitcoin ETFs do not provide regular income, which may prevent income-focused investors.
  • Operational risk: Risks related to custody, accounting standards and ESG issues may hinder adoption by large institutions. For example, Bitcoin’s energy consumption is still some people Compliant with ESG Folder.

Bitcoin ETFs provide compelling opportunities for institutional investors seeking diversification and growth. While they may not be able to completely replace bonds in their portfolios, they can supplement traditional assets, especially in low-yield or inflationary environments.

A balanced approach combines modest allocation of Bitcoin ETFs to improve portfolio performance while managing risks. As the financial landscape develops, institutions must remain agile to adjust their strategies to include emerging asset classes such as Bitcoin.



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