Chaos and distrust are pending to save the ceasefire


Yoland Kneel

Middle East Correspondent

Rushdi Abualouf

Gaza correspondent

EPA Palestinian Children Watch Sunset from Destroyed Houses in Jabalia Refugee Camp north of Gaza City (11 February 2025)EPA

Many displaced Palestinians return to the ruins of their houses in the north

The Gaza ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has looked shaky since its entry into force on January 19, but now it looks the closest to a total collapse.

A senior Egyptian source told the BBC that Egypt and Qatar regional mediators are “strengthening their diplomatic efforts to save the ceasefire agreement”.

Hamas officials told the BBC that Hamas’ top delegation has now arrived in Cairo for negotiations “to curb the current crisis.” He reiterated the group’s “full commitment” to the terms of the deal.

“If Hamas does not return to our hostages by noon Saturday, the ceasefire will end and (the Israeli military) will resume fierce fighting,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday.

But the meaning of whether he means all 76 hostages still in Gaza is consistent with the high-risk last-pass atum recommended by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Trump responded to Hamas’ threat to derail the deal on Monday.

It complained about Israel’s ceasefire violations, especially related to aid, and warned that it would postpone the release of hostages on Saturday.

Over the past week, the president’s new radical U.S. plan toward Gaza (without 2 million Palestinian residents) has also changed the context of his administration’s helping brokers.

Reuters Israeli soldiers stand on top of a tank in southern Israel near the border with Gaza (February 12, 2025)Reuters

Israeli military says it will send reinforcements to southern Israel on Tuesday

So, we still know what’s going on behind the scenes?

When it comes to the results of Tuesday’s four-hour Israeli Security Cabinet meeting, Israeli journalists acknowledged bewildered by the contradictions and chaos briefings.

The first report quoted an unnamed Israeli official after the Israeli Prime Minister’s video message called for the release of “our” hostages – saying it refers to the original three male hostages planned to be released.

Israel is said to have expected the release of the last nine living hostages in the first phase of the six-week ceasefire, which should be released, which should be handed over to a total of 33 prisoners.

Then the main ministers began to weigh. Netanyahu’s close ally Miri Regev said on X that the decision was “very clear” and responded to Trump’s demand. “By Saturday, everyone will be released!”

Fall-right Israel Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich threatens to leave Netanyahu’s coalition if there is no return to fight at the end of the six-week ceasefire agreement – go further .

On social media, he suggested telling Hamas to release all hostages or otherwise opening the “Gate of Hell” with no fuel, water or humanitarian aid entering Gaza.

He said Israeli fighter jets and tanks should have “only fire and sulphur” and the zone was completely occupied and its population was deported.

“We have provided all the international support for this matter,” he said.

His comments show how Trump’s vision for post-war Gaza strengthens Israel’s far-right.

This is said to have led Israeli security chief to negotiate the current ceasefire agreement and believe its collapse would endanger the lives of the hostages.

Israeli media reported that they were pushing for a way to bring back the next three prisoners Hamas scheduled for the weekend.

The hostage family and their supporters were shocked by the latest developments, and the Gass, who hated the god of war, were shocked.

Reuters' families and supporters of Israel's hostages participated in a demonstration calling for immediate return of hostages near the residence of the Prime Minister who ruled Jerusalem in Gaza (February 12, 2025)Reuters

Hostages’ families urge the Israeli government to ensure that all people are released

The fact that Gaza’s Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya is leading the delegation to follow up on Cairo’s implementation, suggests that armed groups are also trying to get the ceasefire back on track.

In total, 16 people have taken hostages home since January 19 in the deal in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel. Five Thai farm workers were also released.

Meanwhile, Israeli forces retreated from the outer periphery of Gaza, including the Egyptian border.

Relative calm has brought thousands of displaced Palestinians back to their communities and has brought about a surge in humanitarian aid.

However, the current deadlock stems from Hamas’s claim that Israel has not yet maintained its commitment to the first phase of the truce.

It said this requires Israeli authorities to allow approximately 300,000 tents and 60,000 seat caravans to enter Gaza.

With so many people returning to the ruins of the house – in the cold, wet winter weather – there is a desperate need for such shelters.

Fuels and generators are said to be in urgent need of fuels and generators, especially in northern Gaza, especially for water pumps and bakeries.

It’s hard to accurately verify what’s already in the stripe.

According to figures cited by the United Nations, “Since the ceasefire came into effect, 644,000 people across Gaza have received shelters including tents, sealing materials and tarpaulins.”

Israeli military agency Kogat said Israel “committed to and fulfilled its obligation to promote the entry of 600 humanitarian aid trucks into the Gaza Strip every day.”

It added: “Based on the data available to us, thousands of tents have entered the Gaza Strip since the agreement came into effect.”

EPA Palestinian rides behind a van full of items as displaced people drive from southern Canada to Northern Gaza through the Netzarim Corridor (February 12, 2025)EPA

Palestinians are allowed to cross the Israeli military’s Netzarim corridor, which divides Gaza into two

Despite the contradictory arguments, it can be assumed that Israel’s aid to Gaza can be resolved by mediators.

“Cairo and Doha are urging parties to comply with the terms of the agreement that makes the mission more challenging, political and on-site complexity.” The senior Egyptian source told the BBC.

“The continuation of the ceasefire is in everyone’s interest and we warn that the collapse of the agreement will lead to a new wave of violence and severe regional impact.”

Even if the immediate crisis can be overcome this weekend, it will still leave the next phase of ceasefire negotiations.

Unless Hamas and Israel agree to an extension, the first phase of the deal should end in March. So far, the negotiations have been postponed.

The Israeli Prime Minister postponed discussions on the next phase as he grew up in evidence during his ruling coalition and the ceasefire that contradicted his war goals – Hamas remained an important political and military force in Gaza.

During hostage handover and aid allocation, Hamas tried to project his own strength.

Although it has previously expressed its willingness to share power with other Palestinian factions, it still seems unlikely to disarm.

On top of that, Trump doubled the idea of ​​turning Gaza into a Mediterranean travel destination – after moving those living in Jordan and Egypt to those – caused shock and anger throughout the Arab world.

Egypt said it had already formulated its own comprehensive Gaza reconstruction plan – which would not involve Palestinians leaving the land.

Leaders of Egypt, Qatar, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are expected to meet ahead of a February 27 meeting in Cairo.

The ongoing controversy over the future of Gaza adds to confusion and profound distrust in resolving the current issue.

Other reports by Wael Hussein in Cairo



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