
From OMKAR Godbole (Unless otherwise explained)
Last week, we described Bitcoin at more than $ 100,000 as curled spring Ready to release Energy along any direction. Unfortunately, for the Bulls, with the change of market emotions, this energy is being released downward Chinese artificial intelligence startup Deepseek In the US AI department and the United States technical leadership.
During the Asian trading hours, Bitcoin fell to $ 97,800, and the price of whales decreased to buyers buyers who were over -driving over -driving. The selling volume of GPU heavy AI tokens is as high as 40 %, and its pressure is similar, which affects GameFi assets.
NASDAQ FUTURES won 700 points, and the stock of Qipu manufacturer NVIDIA (NVDA) showed that the transaction before sales was reduced by 10 %. It is expected that DeepSeek-R1 will greatly reduce the cost of developing large-scale language models, thereby asking questions about the validity period of the rich valuation of AI-GYPAIDIC companies such as NVIDIA.
Traders and analysts Alex Kruger pointed out on X: “The problem is, few people understand the change of Deepseek. It is difficult to quantify the problem. Skk.
Kruger chose not to buy dipping sauce, saying that he prefers more than $ 100,000 short positions because he is expected to increase the potential political maneuver of the Federal Reserve Conference and President Donald Trump. The Fed is expected to reiterate its waiting method and maintain the interest rate guide of Hawkish December.
Nevertheless, everything is not lost. Paul Howard, a senior director of Wincent, said institutional participation may increase in the next few months.
He said in an email: “The next wave may come from the organic participation of institutions in the next 3-4 months.
Howard (Howard is with the peers they have established. Keep alert!
What to see
- encryption:
- January 27 (temporary): Abstract, Ethereum L2, its main network launch, is expected to expand the coverage Dwarf penguin Beyond NFT.
- January 28, 1:00 pm: Hedera (HBAR) network upgrade To V0.57.5.
- January 29: Cardano’s Plomin Hard Fork network upgradeEssence
- January 29: Ion network (ION) Mainnet launchEssence
- February 2nd, 8:00 pm: Core blockchain Athena hard fork network upgrade (V1.0.14)
- February 4: MicroslateGy Inc. (MSSTR) Q4 20024 Fiscal Revenue ReportEssence
- February 4: Pepsi (PEPE) halvedEssence At 400,000 yuan, the reward will drop to 31,250 PEPE.
- February 5th, 3:00 pm: Boba Network’s new World hard fork network upgrade For L2 main network based on Ethereum.
- February 6, 8:00 am: SHENTU chain network upgrade (V2.14.0).
- February 12: Hut 8 Corp. (cabin) Q4 2024 Revenue ReportEssence
- February 15: Qtum (QTUM) Hard fork network upgrade It is planned to be held in 4,590,000 blocks.
- February 18 (after the market is closed): SEMLER Scientific (SMLR) Q4 2024 Revenue ReportEssence
- February 20: Coinbase Global (Coin) Q4 2024 Revenue ReportEssence
- Magnificent
Token
- Governing voting and telephone
- Compound Dao is voting whether to adjust the interest rate curve of Comet Stablecoin in multiple networks including Ethereum and the foundation.
- Clover Finance Dao is voting whether the CLV network is renamed Lucent Network, which is consistent with the establishment of a decentralized financial and artificial intelligence platform (DEFAI). Brand reshaping will be migrated from Polkadot to SVM chain stores and new token stocks, LUX.
- The arbitration is voting for the proposal to establish an arbitration strategic target environment (SOS). The proposal will make DAO members put forward and voting in the short -term to medium -term goals.
- Unlock
- January 31: Optimism (OP) unlocked 2.32 % of cyclic supply, worth $ 52.9 million.
- January 31st: Jupiter (Jup) unlocked 41.5 % of cyclic supply at a value of $ 626 million.
- February 1: SUI (SUI) unlocked the circular supply volume of about 2.13 % for $ 226 million.
- Token list
- January 28th: Pudgy PENGUINS (PENGU) and Magic Eden (ME) will be listed on Kraken.
- January 29: Cronos (CRO), movement (mobile) and usually listed on Kraken (usually).
Meeting:
Tokens
Shaurya Malwa
- Agent and Alone on theme of AI made a blow on Monday. Its firm virtual protocol (virtual), AI16Z (AI16Z) (AI16Z) and Eliza (Eliza) have been gliding for 30 %, which is related to Chinese DeepSeek, pointing out Our duplication of AI AI Startup InalTial.
- The economic downturn Sunday rally was on Jup of Jup and Toshi (Toshi) of the base.
- When the founder “MEOW” announced at the annual meeting that the platform will burn more than $ 3 billion in JUP token and start using its 50 % cost to repurchase the token from the market.
- As Coinbase lists the permanent futures of tokens, TOSHI has increased by more than doubled, which makes it the only basic member listed on influential exchanges.
- Subsequent demand soared to the peak market value of tokens to $ 820 million.
Derivative
- The BTC permanent fundraising rate becomes negative during the European time, showing the net prejudice of shorts. Historically, this positioning often marks the lowest price of the local price.
- BNB, DOGE, TRX and Avax also saw negative funding rates.
- BTC, ETH short -term options now show prejudice to the PIT options, providing downward protection. The prejudice of calls continued to show after February.
- The key block transactions on the day include short -term volatility, short positions involving BTC $ 05K and 98K $ $ 98K. Both of them expired on January 10. In the case of ETH, the priceless phone shorts and a longer position have been noticed in $ 3K.
Market change:
- BTC decreased by 5.95 % from 4 pm on Friday to $ 98,784.45 (24 hours: -5.84 %)
- ETH fell 6.12 %, $ 3,050.20 (24 hours: -7.88 %)
- Coindesk 20 dropped 9.07 % to 3,536.28 (24 hours: -9.66 %)
- CESR comprehensive discharge rate has dropped by 2bps to 3.1 %
- BTC’s financing rate is 0.0006 % (0.7 % per year) two people
- DXY fell 0.26 % at 107.17
- Gold fell 0.21 %, $ 2,767.13/ounce
- Silver fell 0.55 % to $ 30.48/ounce
- Nikkei 225 Close -0.92 %, 39,565.80
- HANG Seng Close+0.66 % to 20,197.77
- FTSE fell 0.21 % to 8,483.97
- Euro STOXX 50 fell 1.51 % to 5,140.89
- DJIA closed -0.32 % to 44,424.25 on Friday
- S & P 500 closed -0.29 %, 6,118.71
- Nasdaq closed -0.5 %, 19,954.30
- The S & P/TSX Composite Index is closed+0.14 % to 25,468.49
- S & P 40 Latin America is closed+0.53 % to 2,322.63
- The Treasury of 10 years in the United States has fallen 13 basis points to 4.5 %
- E-Mini S & P 500 Futures fell 2.37 % to 5,988.00
- E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures fell 4.27 % to 20,974.75
- E-Mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures has not changed 44,216.00
Bitcoin statistics:
- BTC advantage: 59.45 (0.60 %)
- Ethereum and Bitcoin ratio: 0.0392 (-1.7 %)
- Hash (7 -day mobile average): 766 EH/S
- Hashprice (spot): $ 60.2
- Total cost: 4.19 BTC/ $ 439,954
- CME Futures Opening interest: 187,465 BTC
- BTC price is gold: 35.8 ounces
- BTC and Gold Market Lottery: 10.17 %
Technical analysis
- The RSI on the chart per hour has dropped to 20 in Asia, the lowest since late August.
- In other words, it is the strongest in the past five months.
- The following 30 times of RSI read represents excessive conditions and signs of the upcoming bear breathing.
Encrypted stock
- Microslategy (MSTR): On Friday, it closed at a price of $ 353.67 (-5.11 %), down 4.9 %, and the price was $ 336.35.
- Coinbase Global: It closed at $ 298.00 (+0.67 %), down 4.9 %, and priced at $ 283.39.
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (Glxy): Chable closed with C $ 32.52 (-4.18 %)
- Mara Holdings (MARA): It closed at $ 19.99 (+0.2 %), down 6.1 %, and priced at $ 18.77.
- Riot Platforms (Riot): It was closed at $ 13.54 (+4.23 %), down 6.94 %, and the price was $ 12.60.
- Core science (CORZ): closed at $ 15.98 (-2.2 %), down 15.33 %, and the price was $ 13.53.
- Cleanspark (CLSK): It was closed at $ 11.53 (+1.05 %), down 6.76 %, and priced at $ 10.75.
- CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin ETF (WGMI): It closed at $ 26.22 (+2.22 %), down 8.28 %, and the price was $ 25.05.
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): It closed at $ 55.46 (-9.3 %), down 9.48 %, and the price was $ 50.20.
- Egyptian Movement (EXOD): closed at $ 61.25 (+39.2 %), down 2.04 %, and priced at $ 60.
ETF stream
Spot BTC ETF:
- Daily net flow: $ 517.7 billion
- Cumulative network flow: $ 39.94 billion
- The total holdings of BTC were ~ 117.3 billion yuan.
Point ETH ETF
- Daily net flow: $ 9.18 million
- Cumulative net flow: $ 2.8 billion
- ETH in total is about 3.67 million.
source: Farside investor
Overnight
Daily chart
- Just like BTC and Nasdaq, the stable state of gold is relatively stable, which may be the back of the demand for the airport.
- Haven appeal seems to have reduced the yield of 10 years of national treasury coupon 9 basis points to 4.504 %. Bond prices and yields move in the opposite direction.
When you sleep
- Bitcoin sneaks a Deepseek below $ 99K, FOMC steals the Trump effect (Coindesk): With the preparation of traders at the FOMC conference this week, Bitcoin is less than $ 99,000, and the high -end AI model of Chinese startup Deepseek puts pressure on US technology valuations and puts pressure on market sentiment and cryptocurrency prices.
- Solana, Dogecoin, XRP plummeted 10 % with the beginning of blood, $ 770 million in liquidation (Coindesk): Sol and Doge LED decreased. The bullish and clear calculation price of the cryptocurrency market was US $ 770 million, and the overall market value dropped by 8.5 %.
- The price of Bitcoin may be “double -headed head” to $ 75K (Coindesk): Bitcoin cannot maintain a signal of more than $ 100,000 weakened. Analysts say that if the price falls below $ 91,300, it may be as low as $ 75,000.
- China’s economy is in the logo rebound depends on more stimulus (Bloomberg): China ’s January PMI data shows that the signing and slowing of the manufacturing industry is a signal that recovers with weak demand and trade pressure. Analysts warned that there was no stronger fiscal stimulus and slowed down.
- Fixed income investors seek to drive President Trump’s position (“Financial Times”): The inflation of viscous consumers, the strong employment market in the US employment market, and the uncertainty of the Trump policy have promoted the selling of the treasury, although some investors believe that the current price is attractive to long -term growth.
- Eye Frontier assets are exempt from the impact of Trump tariff threats (Reuters): In Trump’s tariff threats and global tensions, some investors are turning to the border markets such as Serbia, Ghana and Sri Lanka, thereby gaining the growth potential and insulation of US trade risks.