On the day on which Elon Musk expanded the boundaries of his three -week autonomous journey in Austin, Tesla from Joe Tegtmeyer tried to illegally ride a railway crossing when a locomotive approached.
“The Robotaxi didn’t see that, and the safety observer had to stop the vehicle until the train was over Post on X.
Tegtmeyer, which could seem to have been a life -threatening situation, and he then argued for Tesla to add more cars to the 10 on the streets to shorten the waiting times that had risen to 20 minutes.
None of this surprises Elias Martinez. He said Teslas software has had one of the earliest full self-driving beta testers in the past four years. But he argues that all available evidence indicates that the technology is far from robust enough to support the 10,000 cars of musk claims in May were theoretically possible on the first day.
“These problems prove that Tesla could have started with only 10 vehicles,” he says Assets. “Yes, it works most of the time, but it blows me around, we still see problems like FSD, the red lights run or drive on the wrong side of the street. This should not be done on such a regular basis.”
The problem is that the statistical probability of a collision is greater in every car. Every robotaxi service that has trapped Waymo must be practically flawless to safely scale the service – but with Tesla there are no signs of this with Tesla.
First 42 minutes @Robotaxi Drive completely! Follow this trip with me and I have some observations and things that I can talk about on the way!
This trip was almost perfect, but I had an instance in which the security driver had to intervene on a railway road that I … pic.twitter.com/cqwkuhu8nx– Joe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🚀 (@Joetegtmeyer) July 14, 2025
A distraction of falling sales figures
The former US marine organizes the crowd sourcing FSD Community TrackerThe most demanding and reliable form of empirical data acquisition and analysis on Tesla’s self -driving technology that is publicly available. Drivers like Volkswagen CEO Autonomous Mobility Christian Senger Talk very much as a benchmark, and even musk – who has his own internal data to delete, which he refuses to share it, proved that the company is making progress.
With the help of a Canadian Tesla driver, his tracker is easy and easy to use: During a trip, FSD -Beta testers like Martinez catalog are in real -time problems that occur directly in the vehicle’s infotainment system, where it is stored until it can be uploaded to the Internet. The drivers are stimulated by weekly recognition of the top participants and transform them into a friendly competition.
At the moment, Show the data Even the latest FSD version of Tesla leads to a critical degradation of approximately 340 miles between the city and the highway. 13.2.9 called that it was introduced in May just a few weeks before the start of the Austin service. “Sometimes you hear Elon say:” It is difficult for us to find deletion. ” That means such BS, ”added Martinez.
Although the Austin -Robotaxi fleet uses a newer iteration, it approaches the performance of the version published for the public in Martinez ‘estimate, as it reveals similar defects to driving on the wrong lane.
He believes that Tesla has focused more on making Musks Junet time plan for hell or the high water than to perfect the actual underlying technology. Since the demand for his EV fell sharply in the first half of the year and his cyberruck has proven to be a commercial flop, the CEO needs something to make investors happy.
“It feels like a distraction from the falling sales figures,” he said, adding, “Elon plays.”
In the meantime, the last major update of Tesla owners, V13.2.1, was received for the public seven months ago.
The company did not respond to an inquiry to comment on this or another point in connection with its FSD self-driving technology.
Musk Stakes Future with groundbreaking technology
When Tesla organizes his win in the second quarter after the end of the markets on Wednesday, Musk will have a flood of questions about the roadmap of his robotaxi pilot. At the time of the press the first class problem Is the performance he has seen in Austin so far and how quickly the service can scale in terms of new cities and more vehicles.
Investors have a lot of money on FSD and want to answer how quickly 10 cars in Austin can grow to thousands across the country. Only then will you get a feeling for how long Tesla takes to skip Waymo, and from zero unattended miles to the 100 million that have just been recorded by his arch -rival.
The technology could prove to be a game changer, especially for marginalized communities such as the disabled. Jessie Wolinsky, a legal blind millennial, the Video blogs The California supervisory authorities said about her experience that slowly lost her eyesight, she was grateful that she was part of Waymo’s trustworthy Rider program.
“It gave me a feeling of security that I have never had before.” “I come to a Waymo vehicle, I can not only get where I have to be in my own conditions, which is huge, but I can do this without being afraid, bothered, intellated, attacked or potentially worse.”
Musk put the company’s assets on the Robotaxi service, which now has to generate the profits that are required to finance his Optimus Robot program currently in development.
If you want trust, you need complete transparency
But autonomous driving in the heart is a technology that is permeated by statistical eventualities. How many cars work at the same time and how many miles do you record together before the first accident occurs – thousands? Millions? More?
Flying may seem like a dangerous endeavor for some, but there is no form of mass traffic, since 99.9999% of the flights end up without incident. Companies like Tesla and Waymo must now demonstrate a similar level of reliability, although variables exceeds an aircraft far beyond a relatively less overcrowded sky.
To do this, you need extensive, detailed data – the way Martinez collects with the help of the Tesla community. However, if you ask the company for answers, you will not receive any – the opposite. Instead of trying to obtain public trust through transparency Buries his robotaxi security recordThe assertion of the data must remain confidential for business reasons.
“This should not be proprietary. They drive on public roads so that the data must be made available,” he said. “The fact that you hide data should tell you everything you need to know. If you really want to trust, you must have full transparency.”
Instead, Musk only publishes a quarterly crash statistics for his FSD Beta program, which is now commissioned FSD: for that first three months This year Teslas drove 7.44 million miles before an accident. This is a sterling result compared to the 700,000 miles for the average American driver, but it is not Robotaxi miles. They rely on the drivers intervene before a collision.
And even these figures, argues, argues, should be checked independently by the supervisory authorities before they are considered credible: “If you leave it to a company, you will filter it so that you fit your story.”
Not ready to scale safely
In the meantime, Tesla’s reaction seems to be to put everything. On Monday Musk thought it was fun to expand the area covered by his three-week-old Austin Robotaxi service to resemble a huge penis when he was seen on a card.
“Harder, better, faster, stronger”, the company of 1 trillion US dollar wrote on Monday, a double bid that refers the synthical pop track of the same name of Daft punk, a duo that is known for performance as a robot. Musk has released the phallus-shaped service card in agreement and added that the fare is now increased from $ 4.20 to $ 6.90 per trip. Both numbers that the 54-year-old often uses for strange effects.
In short, the geographical expansion seemed more than anything to be a PR stunt. The number of cars that collect tariffs did not seem to change. Tesla continues to limit the number of people who can use the service. And human safety monitors are still in the vehicle.
At the prediction point of Polymarket, speculators have the likelihood that Tesla has a fully functional robotaxi service at any time anywhere in the country everywhere in the country Only 42%Down from a high of 86% a month ago.
“It shows that they are not ready to scale, and if you have tried to scale prematurely, you will encounter problems,” says Martinez. “Then they endanger people. Yes, maybe it is a lower risk compared to a drunk driver, but it’s still a risk.”
