Bitcoin (BTC) Starting at the intersection from the first full week of August, as market nerves are combined with a rebound in BTC prices.
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After bounced from three-week lows, BTC price action is a hybrid target, with greater volatility expected in August.
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Analysts say that the current market environment is fundamentally different from the historical climax of Bitcoin starting in January.
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As interest rates lower bets in September, macro conditions will focus on the Fed.
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Bitcoin Hodlers sold out a massive sell-off earlier this month, and even whales would reduce exposure.
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The demand for Bitcoin remains firmly present, helping to increase the environment of short-term market nerves.
$116,500 Become the New BTC Price “Magnet”
Bitcoin splits opinions into data after Wicking below $112,000 last week Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView Shows a push of $115,000.
The greater concerns about BTC price corrections are in stark contrast to the belief that the belief ends, while BTC/USD is Prepare for a new historical climax.
$ btc The chart couldn’t be better.
Retest previous Ath✅
Close SMA 50 every day ✅
Now, BTC looks good for the new ATH. pic.twitter.com/jzvfir4cjt
– bitbull (@akabull_) August 4, 2025
Trader Daan Crypto summed up in his Trader Daan Crypto summed up, “$btc continues to set highs or lows in the first week of a month. We have to see if August will be different.” Trader Daan Crypto summed up in his Trader Daan Crypto Latest analysis On X.
“What we know is that the current monthly high ($116,000) chances of holding are low because we have never seen a monthly Wick High in the past four years.”
The Daan Crypto transaction compared the recent price shift with the price shift throughout 2025 and concluded that volatility so far has not been enough.
“The current transfer from high to low is also about 3.6%,” he noted.
“The odds are also high this month. Over the past 4 years, BTC has had the smallest monthly low to high difference in one month. This certainly doesn’t say the direction.”
Trader Encrypted Caesars Same Eye At the beginning of Tradfi trading week, a “big rebound” was also compared to what has been seen since May.
Popular commentator Thekingfish analyzed exchange order liquidity, marking $116,500 as a key level, while short-term BTC positions will be liquidated.
“Most traders may just be eyeing the price action, but smart money knows it’s the fuel for moving,” he Tell X Sunday X followers, calling $116,500 a “magnet.”
Bitcoin Trend Lines Save the Key to Deja VU Price Action
When it reaches its old all-time high $109,300 in JanuaryBitcoin saw an anti-retraction, which proved to be long and painful for the Bulls.
By April, BTC/USD is pipelined More than $75,000 in multiple monthsshrinking compared to highs above 30%.
Fast forward half a year and the two fell almost 10% at their latest record peak, thus comparing with earlier price action.
For Trader Crypnuevo, there is no reason to think that Bitcoin will only repeat the old high behavior.
“Is the January price action repeating now?” he asked x thread Sunday.
“Reversal of PA is almost the same at highs because it is a common pattern of falling back after lowering momentum. However, the current situation is very different and unlikely to repeat further.”
Crypnuevo said January travel is below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and then turns to resistance.
The 50-day EMA trendline is currently close to $112,900, and below August 2, there is only one daily below it.
“In January, we saw 1d50 EMA becoming resistance. I suspect we’re seeing it now. I think the bias below to $110,000 support might be good,” the thread continued.
Crypnuevo said the “market structure and context” is different from January, noting Increased chances of cutting U.S. interest rates September.
Consensus is once again favoring the lower tax rate in September
As U.S. economic data declines, the Federal Reserve has become a focus of attention this week.
The standoff with President Donald Trump continues to exceed interest rates, with Jerome Powell and other officials opting not to attend their latest meeting.
Powell has faced a policy call for resigning from Trump, who believes it is too restrictive and expensive for the economy.
“Powell should ‘grazing’,” Trump Require August 1, a post about the Truth Society.
Mixed inflation data and a strong labor market allow the Fed to keep the company moving in its courses, but Recent work figures Doubt about how long it takes to avoid slowing down.
As a result, market expectations were whipped, but it was back to the initial 0.25% cut at its next meeting in September, according to CME Group. FedWatch Tools.
Over the next few days, there will be speeches from several senior Fed figures, including oversight vice chairman Michelle Bowman Signals were sent earlier She will open the tax rate for July.
Earnings performance continue to be achieved in the context of U.S. trade tariffs.
“With August officially beginning, with the official start of the income season, volatility has recovered.” Thread on x Sunday.
BTC price drops unite large and small sellers
Bitcoin dipped into a three-week low below $112,000, because it involved selling off from smaller retail investors to giant whales.
Data from the OnChain Analytics platform’s cryptographic literacy tracks the inflow of communications and concludes that city-wide disease activity is underway.
August 1 alone, over 40,000 BTC Loss The entity lasted six months or less from the last time it moved.
Meanwhile, the exchange whale ratio tracking the inflow rate of whale wallets reached a “dominate” level.
“When large deposits dominate with whales, the market usually enters a stage of sales pressure and rapid decline,” crypto contributor Arab chain wrote in one of them QuickTake Blog Post Saturday.
“If the whales continue to deposit Bitcoin at the same rate in exchange, further pressure on the price of Bitcoin is expected.”
Bitcoin demand “still here” – Analysis
From a broader perspective, CryptoQuant’s conclusions are mixed, which should ultimately benefit the Bulls.
Related: Analysts say Bitcoin dip makes the “perfect bottom” say: Will BTC gather to $148K?
While price volatility has caused a rapid change in Hodlers’ appetite for previous BTC exposure levels, long-term trends show solid demand for Bitcoin.
“In view of the recent price drop, some investors may be starting to worry, especially STH, now forced to achieve loss or hold STH for underwater positions. To assess whether the situation will be significantly worse, analyzing current demand is essential,” Darkfost said in one. QuickTake Release on Sunday.
Darkfost marks a clear indicator of demand, which measures newly mined Bitcoins that have been inactive in the past year.
“When the ratio drops below zero, it means demand becomes negative; instead, when it goes above zero, it marks positive demand.”
“Currently, demand is clearly positive, with approximately 160,000 BTC accumulating over the past 30 days.”
In the past month, accumulator wallets have only bought BTC and have no diplomatic transactions, but have increased exposure of 50,000 BTC in the past month.
Long-term perspective, covering over-the-counter (OTC) Trading also shows a clear trend. OTC desktop holdings are now over half a million BTC, compared to only 145,000 BTC in 2021.
“Whether we look at short-term or long-term demand, the picture remains widespread and positive,” Darkfost concluded.
“Demand-side indicators show no significant signs despite recent price volatility.”
This article does not contain investment advice or advice. Every investment and trading move involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.
