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Business leaders are shying initial expectations of a U.S. recession after a tariff announcement on President Donald Trump, according to data released on Monday.
Less than 30% of CEOs in the CEO panel predict a mild or severe recession over the next six months Poll There were more than 270 last week. This is more than 46% of people say the same thing in May, while 62% April.
CEO share this month said they expect some degree of growth in the U.S. economy to be higher than 40%. That’s twice as many as 23% of the same forecast given in April.
Expectations for flat economic growth have surged in recent months, rising from 15% in April to more than 30%. This is proposed by some market participants “Staying” – A term used to describe the environment of economic growth and sticky inflation may appear.
The latest data from the CEO reflects the prospects of U.S. corporate leaders following evolving policies around Trump’s tariffs. The revenue outlook for many large companies remains unchanged, citing uncertainty that the president’s ultimate trade policy will and will not be included.
Trump issued financial markets in April after his first announcement of his plan for extensive and steep taxes in many countries and territories, which market participants feared would hinder consumer spending. He soon put a lot of his responsibilities on the suspension, which helped the market make up for most of its losses.
During this probation period, the White House has been negotiating with the country, and the agreement will expire early next month. Trump administration announces protocol Hold with the UK Talk to China Monday in London.
Economic recession
Talk about the slowdown has once again become a hot topic for U.S. companies. According to CNBC’s Factset data analysis, the word’s “recession” and similar iterations have appeared in earnings calls on the 150 S&P 500 list so far this year, about double the same period in 2024.
“We do recognize that a comprehensive change in global trade policy could lead to wider macroeconomic volatility, including the possibility of potentially stumbled into recessions in certain regions.” International flavors and perfumeslast month on the company’s earnings call.
The company raised warning that tariffs could hit a minimum and that costs need to be lowered by raising prices. Some also say that growing concerns about the recession are driven by tax collection, prompting consumers to tighten their belts financially.
The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell Close to its lowest level of record When tariff announcements shocked everyday Americans.
But images released by a New York Fed survey on Monday were brighter. Data shows that average consumers are growing Not very concerned about inflation Trump has returned to some of his worst trade plans.
“From the macro, I think the worst problem is over.” Home Depot CEO Edward Decker said last month. “We have shifted from the dynamics of almost certain recession and stock market corrections in early April to the stock market today’s total recovery (and) recession expectations over the past month.”
