Sir Keir Starrer’s decision to destroy the reform of Nigel Farages as a “real opposition” was a seismic political decision that increased the right populist party to the status of the potential expectation of Britain.
The controversial step that was carried out in a speech last month has shared the opinion. Some Labor strategists warned that Starer has taken a great risk by giving Farage and his start-up party credibility.
“Keep it on Keir,” Farage told Financial Times. “We laugh at our socks.” But the allies of Starrer insist that the strategy will help bring the Farage train to a standstill and that Labor will have the last laugh.
Starrer announced his plan to take Farage last month in an SMS message to Morgan McSweeney, his chief of staff after learning that the reform leader planned a brave field for working votes In a speech on May 27th.
Two days after Farages Démarcharch – in which the reform leader promised to be the advocate of “working people” – rigid explained In a speech in St. Helens that the new choice for the voters between Labor and the “Fantasy Economics” was the reform.
“The conservative party left the street more,” said Starrer, referring to the most successful political party in the world. “Your project has stalled. They are in decline. They slide into the abyss.”
The most recent YouGov opinion survey provided the reform of 27, Labor on 24. The Tories at 17 and the Liberal Democrats on the 15th.
The decision of the Prime Minister to dismiss Kemi Badenoch’s party from 120 MPs and to train his fire on Reform UK, which currently only has five MPs, was driven by a combination of necessity and political calculation.
“The reform won the local elections,” said an ally of Starrer and referred to Farage’s comprehensive victories in the local elections in England last month. “You are ahead of the surveys. The proof is that you are the most likely opponents in the next parliamentary elections.”
Pat McFadden, the Minister for Cabinet Bureau, is happy to use a sports analogy to describe the position. A Labor MP said: “Pat always says that you have to play the team in front of you, not the team that you want to play against.”
Alastair Campbell, the former media chief of Tony Blair, said that there were risks to head headed with Farage, even if it is important to develop a strategy that revealed the defects’ shortcomings.
“The risk is that it contributes to increasing Farage and fueling a right -wing media obsession that he and not the government get under control with the country’s challenges,” he said.
A working strategist said that the attack on Farage as a tactic was “in order”, but should be left to the party’s backbench, not the prime minister. “I’m just not sure if Keir Starrer should do it,” he said.
But the allies of rigiders find that Farage, who claims that his 1.3 meter -ktok supporters are more than all other supporters of 649 MPs together, could hardly enjoy a higher profile than he has already done.
One said: “Farage is already known. The idea that you can ignore energy if you ignore you would be a mistake. In the end, you will give you a free ride.”
Sir John Curtice, Veteran Wahlkapperte, agreed. “Nigel Farage is given credibility by the opinion polls anyway,” he said. “This horse is more from the stable.”
Starer and his team decided to attack the reform instead of waiting for four years to choose to test Farage’s weaknesses and take advantage of internal tensions.
The focus of the Prime Minister was on the claim that Farage was essentially Liz Truss in the disguise, with imaginative tax and expenditure policy, which would prove to be costly for Great Britain as a mini-budget of the former Tory Premierminister.
Starer will strengthen the attacks in the coming weeks and claim to promise Farage’s promise to pursue a “Doge” approach in order to shorten the waste in reform-controlled councils, and its rejection of net zero guidelines would lead to serious job losses.
But Labor MPs, especially those in the working class in the north and Midlands, underestimate Farage, who is best known as an activist behind Brexit.
“He is a political genius,” said a Labor MP. “Reforms are good because they reflect the legitimate concerns that have ordinary people.”
The Starger team agrees that the termination of the reform will require the work to make people better. “This is the biggest challenge we have,” said an official of Downing Street. The improvement of the NHS and the end of small boat overruns by irregular migrants are next in the list of priorities of the Prime Minister.
But what about the suggestion that strange reforms build up as a tactic in order to share the vote on the right of British politics between Farage and Baden’s parties, a result that would make it possible to get through the middle of the choice of last year?
“I can see why people maybe think that,” smiled the Labor strategist. “But the conservatives checked out.” Curtice notes that the 15 percent compounds of the last voting reform “Good news” were for the work to discontinue essential voices from the Tories and to help SFormer to win.
However, he says that a reform vote of 30 percent would not look as good for Starrer as Farage has made progress in the whole country. In the last election reform, 98 seats took second place, 89 of which were won by Labor.
While the distribution of voting on the right is a clear part of the calculation of rigiders, there is another potential profit for workers when framing the next election as a choice between the management minister and the free -running colors.
While opinion polls reform a constant advantage of work, Straers came by 44 to 29 when YouGov asked voters to choose between Sharmer and Farage as Prime Minister.
A Labor MP said that Farage may seem popular, but – as in the general elections in 2019 – as with Jeremy Corby 2019 – that he did not want him to go to down.
“Farage is Marmite – you love or hate him,” said the MP. Another Labor MP said that if the choice was framed as a two-horses, it could create a “stop farage” balance and encourage the left-wing voters to stick to work instead of supporting the liberal democrats or the Greens.
The Reform Strategy of Starrer – partly from political reality, partly through political calculation – is only only beginning. But most believe that it will only work if the Labor government has to do with the drill holder of the dissatisfaction of the voters.
Luke Tryl, director of the common thought factory, said: “The reform benefits from a” Roll the Dice “mentality. It doesn’t matter to many people whether they are a risk because what they have at the moment does not work.”
Data visualization of Jonathan Vincent
